James
Dyer
Professor of Geography
Publications &
Abstracts
D’Orangeville,
L., M. Itter, D. Kneeshaw, J.W. Munger, A.D.
Richardson, J.M. Dyer, D.A. Orwig, Y. Pan, and N.
Pederson. 2021. Peak radial growth of diffuse-porous
species occurs during periods of lower water
availability than for ring-porous and coniferous
trees. Tree Physiology, tpab101,
https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpab101.
Climate models
project warmer summer temperatures will increase the frequency and
heat severity of droughts in temperate forests of Eastern North
America. Hotter droughts are increasingly documented to affect
tree growth and forest dynamics, with critical impacts on tree
mortality, carbon sequestration, and timber provision. The growing
acknowledgement of the dominant role of drought timing on tree
vulnerability to water deficit raises the issue of our limited
understanding of radial growth phenology for most temperate tree
species. Here, we use well-replicated dendrometer band data
sampled frequently during the growing season to assess the growth
phenology of 610 trees from 15 temperate species over six years.
Patterns of diameter growth follow a typical logistic shape, with
growth rates reaching a maximum in June, and then decreasing until
process termination. On average, we find that diffuse-porous
species take 16–18 days less than other wood-structure types to
put on 50% of their annual diameter growth. However, their peak
growth rate occurs almost a full month later than ring-porous and
conifer species (ca. 24 ± 4 days; mean ± 95% credible interval).
Unlike other species, the growth phenology of diffuse-porous
species in our dataset is highly correlated with their spring
foliar phenology. We also find that the later window of growth in
diffuse-porous species, coinciding with peak evapotranspiration
and lower water availability, exposes them to a higher water
deficit of 88 ± 19 mm (mean ± SE) during their peak growth than
ring-porous and coniferous species (15 ± 35 mm and 30 ± 30 mm,
respectively). Given the high climatic sensitivity of wood
formation, our findings highlight the importance of wood porosity
as one predictor of species climatic sensitivity to the projected
intensification of the drought regime in the coming decades.
Dyer, J.M.
2019. A GIS-based water balance approach using a
LiDAR-derived DEM captures fine-scale vegetation
patterns. Remote Sensing 11(20): 2385.
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11202385
Topography
exerts strong control on microclimate, resulting in distinctive
vegetation patterns in areas of moderate to high relief. Using the
Thornthwaite approach to account for hydrologic cycle components,
a GIS-based Water Balance Toolset is presented as a means to
address fine-scale species–site relationships. For each pixel
within a study area, the toolset assesses inter-annual variations
in moisture demand (governed by temperature and radiation) and
availability (precipitation, soil storage). These in turn enable
computation of climatic water deficit, the amount by which
available moisture fails to meet demand. Summer deficit computed
by the model correlates highly with the Standardized
Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for drought at
several sites across the eastern U.S. Yet the strength of the
approach is its ability to model fine-scale patterns. For a 25-ha
study site in central Indiana, individual tree locations were
linked to summer deficit under different historical conditions:
using average monthly climatic variables for 1998–2017, and for
the drought year of 2012. In addition, future baseline and
drought-year projections were modeled based on downscaled GCM data
for 2071–2100. Although small deficits are observed under average
conditions (historical or future), strong patterns linked to
topography emerge during drought years. The modeled moisture
patterns capture vegetation distributions described for the
region, with beech and maple preferentially occurring in
low-deficit settings, and oak and hickory dominating more xeric
positions. End-of-century projections suggest severe deficit,
which should favor oak and hickory over more mesic species.
Pockets of smaller deficit persist on the landscape, but only when
a fine-resolution Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR)-derived
Digital Elevation Model (DEM) is used; a coarse-resolution DEM
masks fine-scale variability and compresses the range of observed
values. Identification of mesic habitat microrefugia has important
implications for retreating species under altered climate. Using
readily available data to evaluate fine-scale patterns of moisture
demand and availability, the Water Balance Toolset provides a
useful approach to explore species–environment linkages.
Iverson, L.R.; J.L. Bartig, G.J.
Nowacki, M.P. Peters, J.M. Dyer, T.F. Hutchinson,
S.N. Matthews, and B.T. Adams. 2019. USDA Forest
Service Section, Subsection, and Landtype
Descriptions for Southeastern Ohio
. Research
Map NRS-10. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research
Station. 68 p. [Printed map included]. https://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-RMAP-10
.
The
classification, mapping, and description of ecosystems are
fundamental components of land management. The National
Hierarchical Framework of Ecological Units (Cleland et al. 1997)
provides the basis for the USDA Forest Service to accomplish these
tasks. This framework allows the recognition of ecosystems or
ecological units at eight spatial scales within a nested
hierarchy. The highest levels of ecological units have been
delineated nationally from domains through subsections. Our
project, described here, is an extension of this national effort
and concentrates on the local mapping and description of
ecological landtypes, the seventh level of the hierarchy. It is
envisioned that the results of this project will serve the Wayne
National Forest in Ohio and its partners in many ways. This work
provides an ecological basis by which future land management plans
can be developed and executed. It helps give direction to
silvicultural activities designed to maintain ecological
sustainability, biological diversity, and local economies. It also
informs research by distinguishing different ecosystems for
experimental design and spatial extrapolation of
findings.
Dyer, J.M., and T.F. Hutchinson. 2018. Topography and
soils-based mapping reveals fine-scale compositional shifts
over two centuries within a central Appalachian landscape. Forest
Ecology and Management
,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2018.10.052
.
When public
lands were surveyed in the U.S., “witness trees” were often
recorded to facilitate the relocation of property boundaries, and
these records provide a snapshot of forest conditions prior to
Euro-American settlement and land clearing. This study
utilizes witness trees and present-day plot data to explore
long-term vegetation changes at a regional scale. Landscape
classes for a 5000 km2 study area in Appalachian Ohio were defined
by slope, aspect, topographic position, soil pH, and available
water capacity. Cluster analysis and ordination revealed
topo-edaphic patterns in the presettlement (c. 1800) and
present-day forests, based on 5765 witness trees and 3249
contemporary trees occurring on 547 Forest Inventory and Analysis
(FIA) subplots. Mesophication is evident, as the oak-hickory
presettlement forest is now dominated by maple-poplar.
Size-class analysis suggests the presettlement forest also
experienced mesophication following xeric conditions of the
preceding centuries. In both presettlement and
contemporary forests, ridges form distinctive communities compared
to slopes and valleys, although topographic distinctiveness is now
more prevalent. Several taxa revealed changes in site
affinities over the past two centuries; shifts in their realized
niches suggest mesophication acts through diverse individualistic
responses to a multiple set of interacting drivers.
Specifically, regionally documented changes in land use, drought,
N deposition, and fire at the time of the original surveys lead to
altered competitive relationships.
Pederson, N., J.M. Dyer, R. McEwan, A. Hessl, C. Mock, D. Orwig,
H. Rieder, and B. Cook. 2015. The legacy of episodic climatic
events in shaping temperate, broadleaf forests. Ecological
Monographs
84(4): 599-620.
In humid,
broadleaf-dominated forests where gap-dynamics and partial canopy
mortality appears to dominate the disturbance regime at local
scales, paleoecological evidence shows alteration at
regional-scales associated with climatic change. Yet, little
evidence of these broad-scale events exists in extant forests. To
evaluate the potential for the occurrence of large-scale
disturbance, we used 76 tree-ring collections spanning ca 840,000
km2 and 5,327 tree recruitment dates spanning ca 1.4 million km2
across the humid eastern US. Rotated principal component analysis
indicated a common growth pattern of a simultaneous reduction in
competition in 22 populations across 61,000 km2. Growth-release
analysis of these populations reveals an intense and coherent
canopy disturbance from 1775-1780 peaking in 1776. The resulting
time-series of canopy disturbance is so poorly described by a
Gaussian distribution that it can be described as ‘heavy tailed,’
with most of the years from 1775-1780 comprising the heavy-tail
portion of the distribution. Historical documents provide no
evidence that hurricanes or ice storms triggered the 1775-1780
event. Instead, we identify a significant relationship between
prior drought and years with elevated rates of disturbance with an
intense drought occurring from 1772-1775. We further find that
years with high rates of canopy disturbance have a propensity to
create larger canopy gaps indicating repeated opportunities for
rapid change in species composition beyond the landscape scale.
Evidence of elevated, regional-scale disturbance reveals how rare
events can potentially alter system trajectory – a substantial
portion of old-growth forests examined here originated or were
substantially altered more than two centuries ago following events
lasting just a few years. Our recruitment data, comprised of at
least 21 species and several shade-intolerant species, document a
pulse of tree recruitment at the subcontinental scale during the
late-1600s suggesting that this event was severe enough to open
large canopy gaps. These disturbances and their climatic drivers
support the hypothesis that punctuated, episodic climatic events
impart a legacy in broadleaf-dominated forests centuries after
their occurrence. Given projections of future drought, these
results also reveal the potential for abrupt, meso- to large-scale
forest change in broadleaf-dominated forests over future
decades.
Anning, A.,
J.M. Dyer, and B.C. McCarthy. 2014. Tree growth response to
fuel reduction treatments along a topographic moisture
gradient in mixed-oak forests, Ohio, USA, Canadian Journal
of Forest Research
44(5): 413-421
.
This study
examined the effect of the soil moisture gradient on tree growth
response to prescribed fire and thinning in oak-dominated forests
of Ohio. Six hundred and ninety-six increment cores (348 trees,
five species) were collected from eighty 0.1 ha plots distributed
across four treatments (control, thin, burn, thin + burn) in two
sites. Ring widths were converted to basal area increments
(BAIs). A water balance approach based on geographic
information systems (GIS) was used to assess the potential
evapotranspiration (PET) and moisture deficit for each tree, along
with a long-term integrated moisture index, also based on GIS. The
moisture gradients varied considerably across the landscape, with
the highest PET and moisture deficit on ridges and south-facing
slopes. This variation influenced the BAI of the studied species,
but more strongly in the control stands than in the managed
stands, where treatment effects became the main drivers of growth.
Oaks exhibited greater BAI on sites with intermediate moisture
demand or stress, whereas the non-oaks had greater BAI on more
mesic sites. Moisture deficit and PET also interacted to
influence BAI of yellow-poplar (Liriodendron tulipifera L.) and
white oak (Quercus alba L.), particularly in the control.
These results demonstrate the strong regulatory effect of the
topographically controlled soil moisture gradient on tree growth
in mixed-oak (Quercus spp.) forests, which can be explored to
better understand community response to prescribed fire and
thinning treatments.
McEwan, R.W., J.M. Dyer, and N. Pederson. 2011. Multiple
interacting ecosystem drivers: toward an encompassing hypothesis
of oak forest dynamics across eastern North America.
Ecography
34: 244-256.
Many
forests
of
eastern
North American are undergoing a species composition shift in
which maples ( Acer
spp.) are increasingly important while oak ( Quercus
spp.) regeneration
and recruitment has become increasingly scarce. This dynamic in
species composition occurs across a large and geographically
complex region. The elimination of fire has been postulated as
the driver of this dynamic; however, some assumptions underlying
this postulate have not been completely examined, and
alternative hypotheses remain underexplored. Through literature
review, and a series of new analyses, we examined underlying
assumptions of the “oak and fire” hypothesis and explored a
series of alternative hypotheses based on well-known ecosystem
drivers: climate change, land-use change, the loss of foundation
and keystone species, and dynamics in herbivore populations. We
found that the oak maple dynamic began during a shift in climate
regime – from a time of frequent, severe, multi-year droughts to
a period of increased moisture availability. Anthropogenic
disturbance on the landscape changed markedly during this same
time, from an era of Native American utilization, to a time
characterized by low population densities, to Euro-American
settlement and subsequent land transmogrification. During the
initiation of the oak-maple dynamic, a foundation species, the
American chestnut, was lost as a canopy tree across a broad
range. Several important browsers and acorn predators had
substantial population dynamics during this period, e.g.,
white-tailed deer populations grew substantially concurrent with
increasing oak recruitment failure. In conclusion, our analyses
suggest that oak forests are reacting to marked changes in a
suite of interlocking factors. We propose a “multiple
interacting ecosystem drivers hypothesis,” which provides a more
encompassing framework for understanding oak forest dynamics.
Dyer, J.M. 2010. Land use legacies in a central Appalachian
forest: Differential response of trees and herbs to historic
agricultural practices. Applied
Vegetation Science 13: 195-206.
Question
: Are
contemporary herb and tree patterns explained by historic land
use practices? If so, are observed vegetation patterns
associated with life-history characteristics, soil properties,
or other environmental variables?
Location
: Southeastern
Ohio, USA.
Methods
: Using
archival records,currently forested sites were identified with
distinct land use histories: cultivated, pastured (but not
plowed), and reference sites which appear to have never been
cleared. Trees were recorded by size and species on twenty
20 m x 20 m plots; percent cover was estimated for each herb
species in nested 10 m x 10 m plots. Environmental
characteristics were noted, and soil samples analyzed for
nutrient availability and organic matter. Nonmetric
multidimensional scaling ordination was performed separately on
both tree and herb datasets to graphically characterize
community composition among plots. Life-history traits
were investigated to explain observed compositional differences.
Results
: Vegetation
patterns were
explained
by current environmental gradients, and especially by land use
history. Cultivated
and pastured sites
had
similar tree composition, distinct from reference sites.
Herb composition of pastured and reference
sites was similar and distinct
from cultivated sites, suggesting the “tenacity”
of some forest herbs on formerly
cleared sites.
Tilling
removes rhizomatous species, and disfavors species with
unassisted dispersal. These
life-history
traits
were underrepresented on cultivated sites, though ant-dispersed
species
were not.
Conclusions
: Historic
land use practices accounted for as much variation in species
composition as environmental gradients. Furthermore, trees
and herbs responded differently to past land use
practices. Life-history traits of individual species
interact with the nature of disturbance to influence community
composition.
Dyer, J.M. 2009. Assessing topographic
patterns in moisture use and stress using a water balance
approach.
Landscape Ecology,
24
: 391-403.
Through its
control on soil moisture patterns, topography’s role in
influencing forest composition is widely recognized. This
study addresses shortcomings in traditional moisture indices by
employing a water balance approach, incorporating topographic and
edaphic variability to assess fine-scale moisture demand and
moisture availability. Using GIS and readily-available data,
evapotranspiration and moisture stress are modeled at a fine
spatial scale at two study areas in the U.S. (Ohio and North
Carolina). Model results are compared to field-based
soil moisture measurements throughout the growing season. A
strong topographic pattern of moisture utilization and demand is
uncovered, with highest rates of evapotranspiration found on
south-facing slopes, followed by ridges, valleys, and north-facing
slopes. South-facing slopes and ridges also experience
highest moisture deficit. Overall higher rates of
evapotranspiration are observed at the Ohio site, though deficit
is slightly lower. Based on a comparison between modeled and
measured soil moisture, utilization and recharge trends were
captured well in terms of both magnitude and timing.
Topographically-controlled drainage patterns appear to have little
influence on soil moisture patterns during the growing
season. In addition to its ability to accurately capture
patterns of soil moisture in both high-relief and moderate-relief
environments, a water balance approach offers numerous advantages
over traditional moisture indices. It assesses moisture
availability and utilization in absolute terms, using
readily-available data and widely-used GIS software. Results
are directly comparable across sites, and although output is
created at a fine scale, the method is applicable for larger
geographic areas. Since it incorporates topography,
available water capacity, and climatic variables, the model is
able to directly assess the potential response of vegetation to
climate change.
Dyer,
J.M., and C.M. Cowell, 2008
. Invasive
Species and the Resiliency of a Riparian Environment.
Pages 87-103 in R.K. Kohli and S. Jose
(eds.) Invasive Plants and Forest Ecosystems. CRC Press, Boca
Raton, FL.
Research into exotic species
invasions has focused both on life-history traits of the
invaders, as well as on the site qualities that may make
ecosystems prone to invasion.Successful
invasion of an ecosystem is typically a result of conducive
combinations of both species and site characteristics.Crull’s
illustrates this interaction well,
having been aggressively colonized by two invasive species
following the construction of an upstream dam.The island will be used as a case study to highlight the
dynamics of a highly “invasible” system.The
process of invasion will then be discussed within the context of
resiliency theory.
Originally posited for ecological
systems, resiliency theory has been extended to address linked
ecological and social systems.
Although a few studies have applied
the framework of resiliency theory to investigations of exotic
species, little has been done regarding invasive plants.Our examination of
highlights the many dilemmas
associated with natural area management in the eastern
, where extensive human
modification of landscape processes has combined with
introduction of non-native species to fundamentally alter the
functioning of the region’s ecosystems.
Dyer, J.M.
2006. Revisiting the
Deciduous Forests of
Eastern No
rth
America. BioScience
56:
341-352.
In 1950, E.
Lucy Braun published Deciduous Forests of Eastern
North America
, which included a map depicting “original”
forest pattern.Her classification of
forest regions remains an influential reference, though it was
shaped by ecological assumptions that we consider outdated today.Using a data set from an extensive
network of contemporary forest plots, a new map of forest regions
is presented.Although differences
between the maps are noted, including the “homogenization” of
forests in the central section of the deciduous forest formation,
the “geography” of Braun’s forest regions is largely maintained.Similarities between the maps are
noteworthy considering methodological differences in their
creation, and despite intensive land use changes, fire
suppression, introduction of exotic species, and changes in
atmospheric chemistry that have occurred since Braun’s work.
Dyer.
J.M.
2004. A water budget approach to predicting tree species growth
and abundance, utilizing paleoclimatology sources.
Climate
Research
28: 1-10.
Biogeographers
and ecologists often need to quantify species-environment
relationships to understand the distribution of vegetation, and to
assess changes in pattern resulting from environmental
change. A water budget approach, which incorporates
evaporative demand and moisture availability, is compared to
traditional climatic variables in their ability to predict species
growth and abundance in eastern North America. Tree growth
is first examined using tree-ring chronologies obtained from the
International Tree-Ring Data Bank, correlated with climatic data
from the nearest site in the U.S. Historical Climatology
Network. Secondly, logistic regression is used to model the
range of American beech (Fagus grandifolia) using pollen records
from the World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, and climatic data
from NCAR’s CCM1 General Circulation Model for the control, 6 ka,
and 11 ka runs. Tree growth, especially for oaks and
other deciduous trees, correlates more strongly with early
growing-season deficit than with precipitation. Water budget
variables (actual evapotranspiration and deficit) also are more
effective than traditional climatic variables in modeling the
range of beech. A water budget approach is attractive for
modeling vegetation dynamics because it transcends geographic
scale; it is able to model both local and continental-scale
phenomena.
Dyer,
J.M. 2002. A comparison of moisture scalars and water
budget methods to assess vegetation-site relationships.
Physical
Geography,
23: 245-258.
Quantification
of vegetation-site relationships is often required in
biogeographic research. Methods linking species to
particular sites typically assess evaporative demand and soil
moisture availability at the site, though methods differ in how
these factors are assessed. This study compares three
approaches – a water-budget approach, and field-based and
map-based moisture scalars – in their ability to predict the
occurrence of a single species, American beech ( Fagus
grandifolia
), observed in 102, 0.04 ha plots in southeastern
Ohio. Actual evapotranspiration and deficit provided results
superior to field-based and map-based scalars. Map-based
techniques are potentially limited at fine spatial scales, due to
the large discrepancy between observed topographic variables, and
those modeled with 7.5-minute elevation grids. The study
concludes that a water budget approach is applicable to a wide
range of studies exploring vegetation-site linkages. It has
advantages of being objective in its computation, and applicable
at a wide range of spatial scales. Perhaps most importantly
with regard to global change research is the dynamic nature of the
method: a site’s classification will change concurrently with
changes in climate.
Cowell,
C.M., and J.M. Dyer. 2002. Vegetation development in a modified
riparian environment: Human imprints on an Allegheny River
Wilderness.
Annals of the Association of American
Geographers
92: 189-202.
Pristine
floodplain forests are virtually nonexistent in the eastern United
States, necessitating that preservation efforts focus on
relatively intact representatives of these unique ecosystems --
many situated where hydrologic modifications are the norm. This
paper examines the vegetation dynamics for one such natural area,
a wilderness island in northwestern Pennsylvania, to assess how
the ecological processes of a riparian preserve are affected by
changes to the surrounding environment. Ordination of a
vegetation sample identifies several landscape patches on the
island; the structure and historical development of these
communities are analyzed using tree ring patterns, aerial
photography, and the flood regime characteristics preceding and
following construction of a large dam upstream. Whereas research
on natural riparian sites has emphasized the role of floods as a
disturbance that generates early successional habitat, moderation
of the hydrologic regime here has shifted the impact of floods
from disturbance to stressor. Peak flows are no longer sufficient
to open sites for colonization, while the duration of flooding has
increased. Without flood disturbance, later stages of
succession become more widely represented, and species
regeneration occurs in the context of competitive, rather than
open, sites. The altered disturbance regime thus favors
species with life-history characteristics atypical of the pre-dam
environment, including non-native species, resulting in altered
composition and vegetation dynamics. Managerial expectations that
natural successional processes will eventually restore degraded
riparian habitats in these modified settings are therefore
unlikely to be fulfilled.
Dyer, J.M. 2001. Using witness trees to
assess forest change in southeastern Ohio.
Canadian Journal of Forest Research
31: 1708-1
718.
In
1787,
the U.S. Congress authorized the sale of the “Ohio Company
Purchase,” c. 5000 km2 in Appalachian Ohio. The land was
surveyed using a Township and Range system shortly
thereafter. Data on >5600 witness trees were
transcribed from the survey records, and witness tree locations
were plotted on a digital map. This information was used
to evaluate presettlement forest composition and structure, and
to investigate vegetation-site relationships before widespread
alteration of the forests had taken place. Presettlement
conditions were compared to present conditions using Forest
Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data.
Two hundred
years ago, the forests of southeastern Ohio were dominated by
large individuals of Quercus alba
L., Carya
Nutt.
spp., Quercus velutina
Lam., and Fagus grandifolia
Ehrh.
These four taxa comprised 74% of all witness trees. Although
almost 70% of the region is forested today, the second-growth
forest has witnessed a decrease in Quercus
and Carya
,
and an increase in Acer saccharum
Marsh., A. rubrum
L., and many early successional species in smaller size
classes. Despite the significant shift in forest composition
and structure, species in general seem to be occupying similar
positions in the present-day landscape compared to the
presettlement forest; topographic variables most strongly control
species occurrence in this landscape.
Dyer,
J.M., and K.E. Moffett. 1999. Meadow invasion from
high-elevation spruce-fir forest in south-central New Mexico.
The
Southwestern Naturalist
44: 445-457.
Stands of
corkbark fir - Englemann spruce were sampled on Buck Mountain
(elev. 3,282 m) within the White Mountains of south-central New
Mexico. A time series of air photos suggests that adjacent
meadows have been invaded by these high-elevation stands
continuously on the SW slope since the 1930s, although the
forest-meadow boundary on the NE slope has been relatively stable
for decades. In order to obtain baseline stand information,
and to assess patterns of meadow encroachment, quadrats were
established in intact forest on both the SW and NE slope, and
contiguous quadrats extended into the adjacent meadow.
Increment cores were extracted from the apparent oldest trees
within each quadrat (n=53) to estimate establishment dates.
Based on field data and historical records, we conclude that
climatic change is a more likely explanation for the encroachment
of trees into the adjacent meadow, rather than fire suppression or
changes in grazing intensities at this site.
Dyer,
J.M., and P.R. Baird. 1997. Remnant forest stands at a prairie
ecotone site: presettlement history and comparison with other
maple-basswood stands.
Physical Geography
18: 146-159.
The
maple-basswood community type has long been associated with the
“Big Woods” of Minnesota and adjacent Wisconsin, although this
community type also exists in discontinuous phases within
surrounding forest types. This study looks at the apparent
most northwestern outlier of the maple-basswood community type,
Rydell National Wildlife Refuge (NWR) in Minnesota. Specific
goals are to (1) determine if the maple-basswood stands at Rydell
NWR existed historically, and to (2) compare the composition of
the Rydell NWR stands to maple-basswood “core” sites, as well as
other outlier sites.
Public Land Survey records for a 16-township block encompassing
Rydell NWR indicate that although this area was dominated by an
oak-aspen forest type, a distinct maple-basswood region existed,
that had escaped disturbance from fire and wind. Present-day
stand composition data from six Rydell stands are compared with
published data from other maple-basswood stands, using detrended
correspondence analysis. A strong geographic pattern is
evidenced in the ordination diagram, which is attributed to
differences in September precipitation and actual
evapotranspiration between the sites. Local-scale environmental
gradients act to modify the dominant climatic trend on
composition, however, as some Rydell stands plotted closely to the
core region in ordination space, whereas other Rydell stands
demonstrated greater similarity to oak and aspen stands in North
Dakota.
Dyer, J.M.,
and P.R. Baird. 1997. Wind disturbance in remnant forest
stands along the prairie-forest ecotone, Minnesota, U.S.A.
Plant
Ecology
129: 121-137.
Strong winds
are an important disturbance agent in northern Minnesota
forests. On June 19, 1994, strong winds (>160 km h-1)
associated with a tornado damaged forested areas within the Rydell
National Wildlife Refuge, situated in Polk County Minnesota along
the prairie-forest boundary. Field sampling was conducted
immediately following the storm to quantify the type and extent of
damage in four different community types, to assess the impact of
overbrowsing by deer on stand recovery, and to project future
composition based on the nature of the storm damage and current
understory characteristics.
Basal area in 6 sampled remnant forest stands was reduced by
33.5%, although the damage was heterogeneous; basal area in one
stand was reduced by 68.1%. The overall effect of the storm
was the removal of early successional species (primarily Populus
tremuloides
Michx.) in larger size classes. Trees
situated at stand edges were not more susceptible to snapping or
uprooting. Projections of future stand composition indicate
that wind disturbance, unlike other agents of disturbance such as
fire, may accelerate succession on the Refuge, such that early
successional stands will assume a later successional character,
while maple-basswood stands should maintain their late
successional character. Overbrowsing and preferential
foraging by deer may significantly alter stand recovery patterns.
Dyer, J.M. 1995. Assessment of climatic warming using a
model of forest species migration.
Ecological
Modelling
79: 199-219.
S
ignificant shifts in plant species
ranges are anticipated next century if climate warms due to
greenhouse gas emissions. The magnitude of the projected
warming is considerable; the rate at which it is predicted to
occur is unprecedented. There is genuine reason for
concern that the extent of the range shifts will exceed the
dispersal abilities of many plant species, especially in the
context of extensive habitat fragmentation. This study
attempts to assess explicitly the influence of two factors -
mechanism of dispersal and land use configuration - on the
ability of plant species to migrate in response to climatic
warming. Computer models were developed to simulate
dispersal at the time interval of a generation for
wind-dispersed and bird-dispersed tree species. These
models were applied to three study areas in the eastern United
States, each consisting of two 1:250,000 USGS land use land
cover quadrangles, which had been reclassified according to
probabilities of successful colonization. The study areas
reflected the continuum of human impact on the landscape, from
areas in intensive agriculture to heavily forested areas.
The fastest modeled migration rate observed was 81 m/yr for the
wind-dispersed species and 136 m/yr for the bird-dispersed
species. Average migration rates were significantly
lower. The wind-dispersed species was especially sensitive
to habitat isolation and fragmentation. Significant
variations in average bird-dispersed migration rates occurred
with modest differences in the land use pattern within a
landscape; no single predictor of bird-dispersed migration
success emerged. Model results indicate that many species
may be unable to migrate as range limits shift with a climatic
warming, resulting in long-term climatic disequilibrium.
Dyer, J.M.
1994. Implications of habitat fragmentation on climate
change-induced forest migration.
Professional Geographer
46: 449-459.
A rapid
warming caused by the release of greenhouse gases could result in
the displacement of climatic controls limiting the current ranges
of many species. Projected northward displacement for
loblolly pine is over 400 km, with only a narrow region of overlap
between the current and projected future range limits. A
model of dispersal developed for loblolly pine is presented.
The model utilizes a GIS to assess the critical influence of land
use pattern on climate change-induced migration through modern
landscapes. Results from two relatively large (150 x 150 km)
study areas in the eastern U.S. suggest that potential migration
rates may fall short by at least an order of magnitude of that
necessary to track projected range shifts. Management
options of species transplanting and the establishment of
greenways are explored with the model. Species that are
unable to keep pace with changing range limits may experience a
reduction in population size and exist in climatic disequilibrium.
Dyer, J.M.
1994. Land use pattern, forest migration, and global warming.
Landscape and Urban Planning
29: 77-83.
Range limits
of many plant species are expected to shift dramatically if
climatic warming, driven by the release of greenhouse gases,
occurs next century. The ability of species to migrate in
response to the range shifts has been questioned, especially in
the context of extensive habitat fragmentation which occurs in
modern-day landscapes.
Simulation
models are presented which incorporate two factors, land use
pattern and means of dispersal, to assess potential responses of
forest species to climatic warming. Study areas displayed a
range of human influence on the landscape, from heavily forested
areas to areas dominated by urbanization and agriculture.
The effect of establishing corridors (greenways) through
fragmented landscapes is also assessed.
Results
indicate that many species may be unable to track shifts in
climatically-controlled range limits, resulting in widespread
disequilibrium between vegetation and climate. A variety of
mitigating options likely will be necessary to offset the negative
consequences of climatic warming on biological diversity.
Land use planners and managers are encouraged to incorporate
climate warming into long-term planning.
Dyer, J.M.,
and G.A. Brook. 1991. Spatial and temporal variations in
temperate forest soil carbon dioxide during the non-growing
season.
Earth Surface
Processes and Landforms
16: 411-426.
In the
Whitehall Forest of Georgia during the 1985-1986 non-growing
season soil CO2 varied with soil depth, varied spatially at
constant depth, and varied temporally with changing environmental
conditions. Variations with depth in the upper 1.4 m of the
soil were of greater magnitude than temporal variations and
spatial differences at 30 cm depth were of lesser magnitude.
Mean soil CO2 in evergreen forest was higher (0.207%) than in
deciduous and mixed forest (0.157%). There were no trends in
soil CO2 along hillslopes or with changes in soil texture, bulk
density, moisture content, or temperature. Soil CO2 did
increase near trees possibly due to increased root densities
and/or more numerous pockets of microbial activity. For CO2
at 30 cm depth, two variables -- the mean daily temperature range
in the month before measurement and actual evapotranspiration in
the week before measurement (AET7) -- explained 76% of the
variation in mean soil CO2. At the profile site, where soil
CO2 was measured at five depths, 66% of the variability in CO2 was
explained by soil depth, AET7, and the average daily temperature
range in the two months before measurement.
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